Euro bring the dying back to life is transitory

\"Euro add dollar will depreciate to 1 ∶ 1\" , even \" euro will disappear stage by stage \" , such judgment returns the words are still ringing in one\'s ears. However, mere the time of 9 months, exchange rate of euro add dollar already broke through the integral col of 1.3 dollars. Risk of be issued to lower levels is faced in economy of current whole world, foreground shows the condition of complicated and confusing to fall especially, of euro is rebounding bring the dying back to life after all? Transitory still?

Euro will still concussion goes up

Be glided by index of American consumer confidence wait for element influence, on July 27, dollar exchange is other the west is main monetary exchange rate goes up drop each other sees, euro add dollar continues strong, dish in go up to 1.3047 dollars for a time. To that day end city, new York collects 1 euro add dollar of city to go up to 1.2992 dollars, before prep above one trades the 1.2989 dollars of day.

Below the concussion of crisis of European dominion debt, euro add dollar drops from the 1.4389 dollars January 4 to the 1.1942 dollars June 8, dollar of add of the euro inside the time of 5 months depreciates extent exceeds 20% . If say euro devalue the imagination that speed exceeds people, so of euro rebound to be able to be described likewise for fast. Arrive from June 8 on July 27, exchange rate of euro add dollar rebounds from 1.1942 dollars to 1.3047 dollars, appreciate extent is achieved 7.5% the left and right sides.

\"Economy of whole world of second half of the year faces risk of be issued to lower levels once more this year, the United States and Chinese economy are added fast all will put delay, this has made the whole world of macroscopical economy advocate fundamental key, also be the big environment that creates dollar press press to devalue. \"A bank researcher points out, \"However European economy still is the area with global the weakest economy, economy is added fast still want slow at the United States. Short-term inside, exchange rate of euro add dollar will be near 1.3 dollars col concussion, predict to concussion will still continue inside year small the trend that go up. Predict to concussion will still continue inside year small the trend that go up..

Strategy of economy of whole world of the bank that collect abundant is in charge of David Bloom to point out, the idea that people breaks down to euro area trend is too excited, forgot the United States also has the problem of a series of oneself however. He forecasts euro add dollar to be in the price of the end of the year will be in this year 1.35 dollars level.

Economic data controls euro

Current, in Euramerican system of two old economy all is in exhausted below weak condition, the each economy data that both sides gives heat alternately ceaselessly became the dominant factor of market of or so exchange rate. Since began June, a series of disappointing economy data that the United States publishs turned round the attention focus of the market, replace crisis of European dominion debt to become the maker of market sentiment.

Nearly a few days, the hopeful expression of the economic data that euro area and England publish is euro those who rise is the biggest shove a hand. GfK of German market research organization releases consumer confidence index rose considerably August to 3.9; Data was amended to come up July 3.6, preliminary data is 3.5. Consumer confidence index was economist predicting Germany August 3.5. In addition, the monthly that British Joint Industry Conference publishs matchs carry out findings report shows, england is retail July index from June - 5 climb litre to + 33, achieve since April 2007 top level, the market predicts far outclass generally last week + 8.

\"Current, global economy did not appear new point of growth, euro or dollar are made without firm main area prop up, accordingly once the economic data of one party is a bit strong at the other side, exchange rate goes situation also meet as fluctuant. \"Afore-mentioned researchers point out, \"And the wait-and-see mood of current investor also is in what there is euro add dollar on certain level to wander likewise situation. \"And the wait-and-see mood of current investor also is in what there is euro add dollar on certain level to wander likewise situation..

Go up sign is possible cannot abiding

\" the integral trend that anabiosises from global economy, the rebound situation of euro add dollar cannot last for a long time possibly, began euro 2011 or devalue emersion posture. \"Afore-mentioned researchers express.

Vassili Serebriakov of analyst of strategy of foreign currency of Fu Guoyin travel thinks, of the European economy get warm again after a cold spell that the main and positive effect that this euro picks up is expecting to be worth at prep above and risk preference mood pick up. Nevertheless, his predicting euro still will be in long-term inside go weak, drop to 1.18 dollars inside 12 months.

Analytic personage points out, although pressure checks the diaphaneity that European banking enhanced on certain level, but check a result and did not carry considerably brace up market confidence, euro wants to break through obstruction to expand rebound posture is by no means easy thing, future still faces risk of be issued to lower levels.

International Monetary Fund (IMF) reckons loan of euro area bank will have 877 billion euro to expire this year, there was 771 billion euro 2011, there will be 714 billion euro 2012. However, european bank has obtained financing in capital market hard, and the short-term loan between the bank also shows difficult to strand more, this creates the economy that did not come 9 years to Europe pressure, squelch euro goes situation.

Afore-mentioned researcher then express: \"Although area of near future euro is strong,rise at what economic data of the United States propped up euro, but euro is basic of the face prop up still be not worth. And, begin from next year, euro area each country will implement constrictive finance policy in succession, this also will make euro is in certain on degree bear pressure. This also will make euro is in certain on degree bear pressure..